A Critical Examination of Environmental Predictions: A Rhetorical and Logical Analysis
The Last Word on the Nice Weather Crisis! With Professor Ian Plimer Ivor Cummins
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### **A Critical Examination of Environmental Predictions: A Rhetorical and Logical Analysis**
#### **Introduction: The Art of Persuasion and the Role of Rhetoric**
Since the mid-20th century, environmental discourse has been dominated by a series of apocalyptic predictions. These claims, often made by scientists, policymakers, and activists, have ranged from imminent resource depletion to catastrophic climate change. While such warnings serve as a call to action, the accuracy of these predictions and their rhetorical framing warrant scrutiny. Using classical rhetoric—logos (logic), ethos (credibility), and pathos (emotion)—this essay critically examines the recurring pattern of environmental alarmism. Furthermore, it employs propositional and prepositional logic to evaluate the validity of these claims and synthesizes the Hegelian Dialectic within a Bayesian framework to assess the competing narratives.
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#### **Narrative Analysis: The Official Line and Counter-Narratives**
The official environmental narrative, often endorsed by organizations such as the United Nations (UN) and prominent climate activists, asserts that humanity faces existential threats from climate change, resource depletion, and ecological collapse. These claims are frequently supported by scientific models, expert consensus, and emotional appeals to the public's sense of responsibility. However, counter-narratives challenge these assertions, arguing that many predictions have failed to materialize and that alarmism undermines scientific credibility and policy effectiveness.
To analyze these narratives, it is essential to categorize the predictions into three key areas:
1. **Resource Depletion**: Early claims, such as the 1966 prediction that oil would run out in 10 years, have consistently overstated the immediacy of resource exhaustion.
2. **Climate Catastrophes**: Predictions of ice ages (1970s) and global warming (2000s) have often shifted timelines and outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in climate modeling.
3. **Ecological Collapse**: Threats such as acid rain, ozone depletion, and rising sea levels have been presented as imminent dangers, yet their impacts have been less severe than forecasted.
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#### **Logical Evaluation: Propositional and Prepositional Logic**
To assess the validity of these predictions, we apply **propositional logic** (evaluating the truth value of statements) and **prepositional logic** (examining the relationships between premises and conclusions).
1. **Propositional Logic**:
- *Premise 1*: If resource depletion is imminent, then oil should have run out by the predicted dates (e.g., 1996, 2000, 2010).
- *Observed Outcome*: Oil has not run out, and technological advancements have increased reserves.
- *Conclusion*: The predictions fail the test of propositional truth.
2. **Prepositional Logic**:
- *Premise*: If climate models are accurate, then their predictions should align with observed data (e.g., Arctic ice-free by 2013, Manhattan underwater by 2015).
- *Observed Outcome*: Many predictions have not materialized, suggesting flaws in the underlying models or assumptions.
- *Conclusion*: The logical relationship between premises and conclusions is weak in many cases.
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#### **Hegelian Dialectic: Synthesis of Competing Narratives**
The Hegelian Dialectic provides a framework for reconciling the official narrative (thesis) and counter-narratives (antithesis) through a synthesis that incorporates elements of both. The thesis emphasizes the urgency of addressing environmental issues, while the antithesis critiques the accuracy and impact of alarmist rhetoric.
**Proposed Synthesis**:
1. **Acknowledgment of Uncertainty**: Recognize the limitations of predictive models and the inherent uncertainty in complex systems such as climate and resource dynamics.
2. **Balanced Communication**: Avoid hyperbolic language that undermines public trust and focus on actionable, evidence-based solutions.
3. **Adaptive Policy Frameworks**: Develop policies that are flexible and responsive to new data, rather than rigidly adhering to outdated predictions.
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#### **Bayesian Logical Matrix: Weighing Narratives**
To evaluate the competing narratives, a Bayesian logical matrix is employed, assigning probabilities to the validity of claims based on evidence and historical accuracy. Official narratives are weighted at 50% of the value of counter-narratives, reflecting their institutional authority but accounting for the track record of failed predictions.
The weighted probabilities suggest that while some official claims hold merit, the overall credibility of alarmist predictions is diminished by their historical inaccuracy.
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#### **Conclusion: Towards a Rational Environmental Discourse**
The history of environmental predictions reveals a pattern of alarmism that often fails to align with observed outcomes. While the urgency of addressing environmental challenges is undeniable, the credibility of the discourse depends on accurate, evidence-based communication. By applying logical analysis, synthesizing competing narratives, and adopting a Bayesian approach, we can foster a more rational and effective environmental dialogue. This balanced perspective not only enhances public trust but also ensures that policies are grounded in reality rather than fear.
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This essay integrates classical rhetoric, logical analysis, and dialectical synthesis to critically evaluate the recurring pattern of environmental alarmism, offering a framework for more constructive discourse.
Q. Make the list into a Critical essay based upon classical rhetoric placing preositional and propositional logicals and a proposed synthesis of the Hegalian Dialectic grounded in a bayseian logical matrix weighting official Narratives at 50% of the value of COunter narratives opposing the official UN line.
A. Certainly! Below is a critical essay structured with classical rhetoric, integrating propositional and prepositional logic, and proposing a synthesis of the Hegelian Dialectic grounded in a Bayesian logical matrix. The essay evaluates the historical predictions regarding environmental and climate catastrophes, weighing official narratives at 50% of the value of counter-narratives opposing the official UN line.
1966: oil gone in 10yrs 1967: dire famine forecast by 1975 1968: overpopulation will spread worldwide 1969: everyone will disappear in a cloud of blue steam by 1989 1970: the world will use up all its natural resources by 2000, urban citizens will require gas masks by 1985, nitrogen build-up will make all land unusable, decaying pollution will kill all the fish, killer bees, ice age by 2000 and America will be subject to water rationing by 1974 and food rationing by 1980 1971: new ice age coming by 2020 or 2030 1972: new ice age by 2070 and oil depleted in 20yrs 1974: space satellites show new ice age coming fast, ozone depletion and "Great peril to life" 1976: scientific consensus planet cooling and famines imminent 1977: department of energy says oil will peak in the 90s 1978: no end in sight to 30yr cooling trend 1980: acid rain kills life in lakes and peak oil in 2000 1988: regional droughts in the 90s, temperatures in DC will hit record highs and Maldives will be underwater by 2018 1989: rising sea levels will obliterate nations if nothing is done by 2000 and New York City's West Side Highway will be underwater by 2019 1996: peak oil in 2020 2000: children won't know what snow is 2002: famine in 10yrs if we don't give up eating meat, fish and dairy and peak oil in 2010 2004: Britain will be Siberia by 2024 2005: Manhattan will be underwater by 2015 2006: super hurricanes 2008: the Arctic will be ice free by 2018 and Climate Genius Al Gore predicts an ice free Arctic by 2013 2009: Climate Genius Prince Charles says we have 96 months to save the world, UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown says we have 50 days to "save the planet from catastrophe" and Climate Genius Al Gore moves his 2013 prediction of an ice free Arctic to 2014 2013: the Arctic will be ice free by 2015 2014: only 500 days before "Climate chaos" 2018 A top climate scientist is warning that climate change will wipe out all of humanity unless we stop using fossil fuels by 2023...Greta Doomberg. 2019: Hey Greta, we need you to convince them it's really going to happen this time 2020 Greta Thunderberg global warming will cause temperatues to rise to 80 degrees celsius and drown 80% of the population. 2024 Greta still alive. 2024 WEF
Steve Baker MP The costs of Net Zero.
#Agenda21 #Agenda2030 #G7 #ShockDoctrine
#ConquestofDough #Sustainabledevelopmentgoals
#CarbonTrading #AlGore #GreatReset #Cop26
#BuildBackBetter @JoeBlob20 @financialeyes
@DavidGolemXIV @Lloyd__Evans @LloydsRemSupGrp
@JoeBlob20 @financialeyes @DavidGolemXIV @Lloyd__Evans
@LloydsRemSupGrp #WASSSUPPPP PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER, ENERGY,
DEBT, WAR, SANCTIONS, ELITISM, MONEY x3. #TRUMP #HALL #EROI
#EMBODDIEDENERGY #circulareconomy
#Wasssupppp Putting it all together, Energy, Debt, War, Sanctions, Eliti...
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2020/01/24/163-tales-from-mount-
incomprehension/ drtimmorganon February 20, 2020 at 7:04 am said: This is a
complex topic, to put it mildly. But what we a...
https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/2020/02/20/wasssupppp-putting-it-all-together-ene...
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Eye each flu-infected city."
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July 22, 2019
#153.Sceptics, Further Discussion. Climate Religion #Perspectiva Mathematics of Climate Change and Climate Change Alarmism @JoanneNova #GrubStreetJournalPolitics,#GrubStreetScience #GrubStreetEnergy #GrubStreetGreenFascism #GrubStreetWrongKindOfGreen #DasFeel
#153. One for the sceptics
THE STRICTLY ECONOMIC CASE FOR ENERGY TRANSITION
We need to be rather careful about the term “opinion is divided”.
via #153. One for the sceptics
This is an excellent Paper on the Mathematics of Climate Change and Climate Change Alarmism, Climatology as opposed to Climate Politics,
http://www.scmsa.eu/archives/SCM_RC_2015_08_24_EN.pdf
French Mathematical Calculation Society: Global Warming Crusade is absurd and pointless « JoNova https://t.co/TEiN7g9n70 via @JoanneNova #Perspectiva #GrubStreetJournal#GrubStreetPolitics#GrubStreetGeoPolitics #GrubStreetScience#GrubStreetEnergy#GrubStreetGreenFascism
— GrubStreetJournal (@GrubStreetJorno) July 22, 2019
“The impact on the entire field of scientific research is particularly clear and especially
pernicious. No project can be launched, on any subject whatsoever, unless it makes direct
reference to global warming. You want to look at the geology of the Garonne Basin? It is,
after all, an entirely normal and socially useful subject in every respect. Well, your research
will be funded, approved and published only if it mentions the potential for geological
storage of CO2. It is appalling.”
1. This simple calculation clearly demonstrates that there are not enough stations to model
the surface temperature of the globe, and satellites cannot replace surface stations. The
reduction in the number of sensors being used is fundamentally unsound: temperature
varies from one place to another, from one hour to the next, and this natural variability can
be tracked only by a very dense network of sensors. p.16
2. Determining an average temperature for a system as complex as the Earth has no physical
meaning. Unfortunately, this question, fundamental though it is, has never been tackled by
organizations involved in meteorology. For them, the answer is simple: you take all the
sensors and calculate the average! p.23
3. According to the British Met Office, ‗The global average temperature is
the arithmetic mean of the northern hemisphere average and the southern hemisphere
average.‘
This type of reasoning is being used by all the international bodies, and one might
legitimately question its validity. The thermodynamic mean, for its part, is too complicated
to apply and requires the use of models (with all their limitations and uncertainties).
We might, however, wonder why the arithmetic mean is also being used in areas that are
less well provided with sensors or have very high or very low temperatures. If we content
ourselves with an unweighted arithmetic mean, then areas with the highest density of
sensors are going to be over-represented!
Our conclusion here is very clear:
SCM SA White paper “Global Warming”, 2015/09
– to calculate the arithmetic mean for the entire planet makes no sense and can only
lead to errors;
– you can calculate the arithmetic mean for areas well provided with sensors (Europe
and the US), and compare the values from one year to another. This might provide
information on local climate variation. p.26/27
4. On CO2 Measurement and concentration,
Our conclusion is very clear: the entire methodology used to observe CO2 has to be
overhauled before we can even think about the results that have been obtained by these
observations. The first step is to correctly document the natural variability of CO2
concentrations (what affects them, and how do they manifest?). We must not forget that the
aim here is to make a global assessment of CO2 concentrations in the entire atmosphere.
Let us use a simple comparison to explain this. Let us imagine that we want to document
incidents of sins committed by human beings. Before concluding that ‗we can restrict our
investigations to the areas around cathedrals‘, which would at least have the merit of
simplicity, we would have to find out about the ‗natural‘ variability of sin. Perhaps, in fact,
more sins are committed far away from cathedrals? p.57
5. Cyclones.
3. Critical analysis
In this case, we have been able to obtain raw data and conduct our own analysis, which
clearly demonstrates, contrary to what we are all reading all the time, that there has been
no increase in the number of cyclones over the past 40 years. We have found a slight
increase in the number of Category 4 and 5 cyclones (the strongest), but the numbers are
very small each year, and the increase might simply be due to changes in ‗accounting
methods‘.
A common deception is as follows: you begin by looking at cyclones that reach the US
mainland (the ones that affect people and insurance companies) and you count them. Then
you change the perimeter and include all cyclones in the North Atlantic, including ones that
disperse at sea. Of course, the second group is bigger!
As we said earlier, the statistics presented here cover all cyclones in the North Atlantic. p.67
6. Sea Level Rises.
a. Two kinds of instruments are used:
• Marigraphs, which have been around for 200 years;
• Altimetry satellites, which measure the height of the satellite above the ocean; they
have been around for 20 years, namely Topex/Poseidon (1992), Jason 1 (2001), Jason
2 (2008).
The water level varies naturally:
• Due to the tides (lunar attraction)
• Due to wind and storms
• Due to sea currents
This being so, the estimates provided by marigraphs and satellites can be no more than
averages, if possible over one year or several years, as phenomena such as El Niño affect
the sea level for a year or more. p.68
b. E. Be careful! On Models. ( https://www.bitchute.com/video/dv8avoovsHqr/)
As this issue has taken on a major political dimension, all kinds of statements are made by
absolutely anyone at all. Great care is therefore called for when accepting information.
1. Models
Conclusions based on any kind of model should be disregarded. As the SCM specializes in
building mathematical models, we should also be recognized as competent to criticize them.
Models are useful when attempting to review our knowledge, but they should not be used as
76
SCM SA White paper “Global Warming”, 2015/09
Critical analysis
The rising sea level is a basic thesis for journalists, to support the doctrine of global
warming. They say, ―Look, the sea is rising, and so we are in danger‖.
It is perfectly true that the sea level is rising, but essentially this is due to the cooling down
of the core of the terrestrial globe which has been taking place gradually for five billion
years. As a result of this contraction, the lighter areas (the oceans) tend to rise up in
relation to the heavier areas (the mountains). This is simply a consequence of buoyancy,
and human beings have nothing to do with it. p.77
That’s Chapter 1 summarised and is sufficient for responding to the Pariah Status proffered upon me by Ron.
I would close only by Pointing interested and critical thinkers at the work of Clive Spash and his Paper The Brave New World of Carbon Trading.
https://www.clivespash.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/2010_Spash_Brave_New_World_NPE.pdf
“A FIRE, A FIRE IS BURNING! I HEAR THE BOOT OF LUCIFER, I SEE HIS FILTHY FACE! AND IT IS MY FACE, AND YOURS, DANFORTH! FOR THEM THAT QUAIL TO BRING MEN OUT OF IGNORANCE, AS I HAVE QUAILED, AND AS YOU QUAIL NOW WHEN YOU KNOW IN ALL YOUR BLACKHEARTS THAT THIS BE FRAUD – GOD DAMNS OUR KIND ESPECIALLY, AND WE WILL BURN, WE WILL BURN TOGETHER!”
― ARTHUR MILLER, THE CRUCIBLE
The States Guide to Trolling the Web. Forum Sliding (NB)
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2019/09/02/155-the-art-of-dark-sky-thinking/
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Published by rogerglewis
Real Estate Entrepreneur. http://www.realrld.com/View all posts by rogerglewis
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7 thoughts on “#153.Sceptics, Further Discussion. Climate Religion #Perspectiva Mathematics of Climate Change and Climate Change Alarmism @JoanneNova #GrubStreetJournalPolitics,#GrubStreetScience #GrubStreetEnergy #GrubStreetGreenFascism #GrubStreetWrongKindOfGreen #DasFeel”
https://t.co/bFZEJpuV01 link to 2015 SCM SA White paper "Global Warming" an absurd, costly and pointless crusade #GrubStreetScience#GrubStreetEnergy#GrubStreetGreenFascism#GrubStreetWrongKindOfGreen
— GrubStreetJournal (@GrubStreetJorno) July 22, 2019
July 22, 2019 at 10:11 am Edit
Don Stewart on July 20, 2019 at 9:33 pm said:
Since this has become an issue…https://phys.org/news/2017-09-mathematics-sixth-mass-extinction.html
Briefly, the two equation model accounts for some of the ‘Gaian’ behavior, such as the photosynthesis cycle. The ‘leakage’, which prevents the ocean from taking carbon out of the surface water and depositing it on the ocean floor, is because the increased acidification (which we are observing today) prevents shell fish from accumulating carbon and sinking to the bottom when they die. As a consequence, carbon stays at the surface, where wind and waves mix atmospheric carbon with shallow water carbon over relatively short periods of time. That is why over 90 percent of the carbon emitted into the air is now in the shallow waters of the ocean.
Please note that if humans tried to take the carbon out of the atmosphere only, the ocean would give carbon up from the shallow waters into the atmosphere. So our burden is much heavier than simply removing carbon from the atmosphere.
When the professor ran the numbers, he found that the remaining carbon budget is about 300 gigatons, which is the lowest projection in the IPCC report. If humans restrict net additional carbon burning to the lowest amount in the IPCC projections, then by 2100 we may still be on a trajectory to the Sixth Mass Extinction, since there is so little wiggle room.
In terms of Surplus Energy Economics, it seems clear to me that the economic system which is currently burning carbon at a furious rate probably won’t survive until 2100. So my base assumption is that we would see a series of ‘downward bumps’ as financial systems founder and production processes move toward the medieval. But a fatalistic attitude would say that, so long as carbon remains to be burned, clever humans will figure out a way to do it…probably using dirtier and dirtier technologies.
I would also speculate that as carbon energy becomes scarcer, then the diversion of some of that energy into energy sinks such as ethanol and private ICE automobiles and our hugely wasteful agriculture will collapse. But we will still burn all the carbon fuels we can get our hands on.
I’m not well enough informed about the question of plastic and chemical pollution and their effect on the shellfish. I don’t think the plastic and chemicals would do them any good…so another threat that probably needs to be dealt with.
Can anything be done about it? The most promising avenue seems to me to be Eco-Ag…putting long lived carbon molecules back into the soils and to a lesser extent into forest biomass. If we intend to do that, we need to get started post-haste. The sorts of industrial forests used to produce electricity in Europe are not good in terms of long term sequestration of carbon. And turning industrial agriculture and food preparation and storage and distribution from a 10 units in to 1 unit out, into a 10 units in to 15 units out will require a complete revamping of society.
It is also possible that the building of wind and solar operating on, most likely, an intermittent basis may give us a ‘better medieval’ system than the windmills and solar which actually operated in the medieval period…surely we are better engineers now?
Is 2100 so far away as to be irrelevant, using a 6 percent per year discount factor? Economists and cornucopians may think so, but I look at it in terms of what my presently existing grandchildren need to be doing during their prime working years…and that is a tall order. Combining the realities of Surplus Energy Economics with the realities of being on a track to the Sixth Mass Extinction is a real reality check.
Don Stewart
Reply ↓
rogerglewis
on July 22, 2019 at 8:49 am said:
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/9/e1700906
Here is the link to the full Paper.
“This observation may help explain the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum’s modest biotic impact. The Frasnian-Famennian extinction provides another exception. Supposing that it is indeed a mass extinction, its presence well below the critical line illustrates an important point: Mass extinctions need not be caused by disruptions of the carbon cycle (2).Modern investigations of mass extinctions often emphasize a plurality of causes. Erwin’s “complex web of causality” (8, 37) addresses how a combination of volcanism, climate change, marine anoxia, methane release, and other environmental stressors may have contributed to the end-Permian extinction. Recent studies of the end-Cretaceous extinction consider massive volcanism (38) in addition to a bolide impact (39). Flood basalt eruptions are also clearly associated with the end-Triassic (40) and end-Permian (15) extinctions, but their contribution to CO2 levels is ostensibly modest (41). Evidently, the carbon cycle both indicates and excites Earth system change. These dual roles merge, however, if external perturbations cause the cycle to respond by magnifying the initial disturbance. System-wide instability may then follow. Because the critical rate rc bounds qualitatively different dynamical regimes, perturbations that exceed rc (at time scales much greater than τx) suggest such unstable evolution. The carbon cycle thus becomes one of many environmental stressors, and an array of causes is naturally implicated.”
The Discussion part of the Paper is interesting in that it concedes, “Mass extinctions need not be caused by disruptions of the carbon cycle” (2).
I would add to that last quote “If at all”
And point those interested in the Ocean Chemistry of Carbon Sequestration to Prof. Glassmans Acquittal of CO2 particularly Ocean Solubility of CO2 and Henry’s Law.
ABSTRACT
Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is the product of oceanic respiration due to the well‑known but under‑appreciated solubility pump. Carbon dioxide rises out of warm ocean waters where it is added to the atmosphere. There it is mixed with residual and accidental CO2, and circulated, to be absorbed into the sink of the cold ocean waters. Next the thermohaline circulation carries the CO2‑rich sea water deep into the ocean. A millennium later it appears at the surface in warm waters, saturated by lower pressure and higher temperature, to be exhausted back into the atmosphere.Throughout the past 420 millennia, comprising four interglacial periods, the Vostok record of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration is imprinted with, and fully characterized by, the physics of the solubility of CO2 in water, along with the lag in the deep ocean circulation. Notwithstanding that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, atmospheric carbon dioxide has neither caused nor amplified global temperature increases. Increased carbon dioxide has been an effect of global warming, not a cause. Technically, carbon dioxide is a lagging proxy for ocean temperatures. When global temperature, and along with it, ocean temperature rises, the physics of solubility causes atmospheric CO2 to increase. If increases in carbon dioxide, or any other greenhouse gas, could have in turn raised global temperatures, the positive feedback would have been catastrophic. While the conditions for such a catastrophe were present in the Vostok record from natural causes, the runaway event did not occur. Carbon dioxide does not accumulate in the atmosphere.
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October 5, 2019
Part 2, or is it Three?of,An Exchange with the Climate Church of Armageddon continues. A Letter to Greta from Freinds of Science, Cool it and so comes the Wrong Think Police. #CLimateFraud #ClimateCult #Greta #ExtinctionDistinction
louploup2on October 4, 2019 at 8:17 pm
rogerlewis: While you were able to figure out my identity (calling me by first name), your knowledge of my level of technical proficiency in the areas of climate science and political-economics (and history) is superficial. You’ll understand my scientific and political-economic orientation more if you look at my linkedin page (which I basically use an my on-line resume).
As an environmental advocate and policy analyst since the late 1970s I have been reading and applying the “best available science” to natural resource management issues for decades. Initially I was focused primarily on forestry and related issues—water quality, land use, fisheries. I have been studying AGW since it came to my attention as a crucial aspect of sustainability some time in the 1980s.
I initially pointed out that your initial reference to a video that relied on The Heartland Institute and Richard Lindzen indicated fealty to the world of fossil fuel industry funded climate change denial. You might be offended by that term (“denial”) but it applies. E.g.: https://insideclimatenews.org/news/06032017/climate-change-denial-scientists-richard-lindzen-mit-donald-trump The same holds true, and more so, for the Heartland Institute: https://www.desmogblog.com/2019/08/11/heartland-deniers-deflated-climate-reality (line in opening paragraph: “most people with basic education, common sense, and a lack of financial interest in the fossil fuel industry accept what scientists worldwide have proven through decades of research…”)
Your posts (and web pages) are evidence of an incredible lack of knowledge and insight about climate science. Getting into a lengthy exchange with you on this blog—focused on economics, not science—would be huge waste of my time and Dr. Morgan’s patience. Cheers and carry on; this is my last post in this exchange.
November 21, 2016
Climate Change .AGW and all points from Activism to Skepticism. @Wiki_Ballot #GrubStreetJournal
I have produced this PDF of notes as preparation for making a children’s book to help my children understand science and the scientific method.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B6ZHfkDjveZzYXU3UHhLem1HQms/view?usp=sharing
Some of my recent posts here on this blog have been responses to what I sensed as a sort of guilt by association people felt if in the presence of a ´´Denier´, that suspected denier being yours truly.
The Mc Carthyism aspects and the ad hominem discourse on this important question have been troubling me for some time. Scepticism does not change the truth of any proposition, Scepticism is an important ingredient in the scientific method. The 97% consensus regarding ´Climate Science´, the part of the ´Science ´which is purported to be ´Settled´ are really all rather vague and ill-defined terms which I find a little confusing. On Scepticism when asked 10 out of 10 scientists would confirm that they prefer it.
So in the spirit of having nothing to fear but fear itself and hope to give, Activists and Deniers alike a rest from the usual debunking industry fare: here, is my best shot at a balanced collection of what I have found to be informative and thought-provoking material. I quote extensively from the IPCC. The reports are actually rather more measured than the summaries for the policymakers and press. The parts from the scientific community are evidence that scientific scepticism is alive and well. You can take the Scepticism out of the Scientism, But you can not take the Sceptic out of the scientist.
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2019/09/02/155-the-art-of-dark-sky-thinking/
November The 5th
.
Bonfires Flames and Embers
Around the bonfires stand communities
Children Burn Sparklers and Adults Candles
Effigies atop the bonfire fear the flames
At the seat of the Fire Embers Accumulate
Dreaming at Home Communities retire
Slumber hangs over the Town
The Bonfire smolders unobserved
Effigies, Sparklers and Candles All Embers Now
Flames lick the skies spectacular
Sparklers delight and perform fleetingly
Candles support but one fragile flame
Embers , wax and Magnesia
Calliopsis or Magnesia fueled from embers
The Health of the embers combustible flames
Who celebrates the embers endeavors
Who sees the symbiosis of the combustion and the fuel
All fate leads into the embers
All Embers fate to blow as dust
All Flames from the embers driven
Do the flames celebrate the embers for their finery?
Roger G lewis 2016.
http://letthemconfectsweeterlies.blogspot.se/2016/11/novemebr-5th-bonfires-
falmes-and-embers.html
An empirical spatiotemporal description of the global surface-atmosphere
carbon fluxes: opportunities and data limitations
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B6ZHfkDjveZzYmtqUVBqMXVKcEk/view
ADOLF HOEL: THE NORWEGIAN
SVALBARD EXPEDITIONS 1906-192
p.53
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B6ZHfkDjveZzXzVnTllQVm91RFk/view
“It will without doubt have come to your Lordship’s knowledge that a
considerable change of climate, inexplicable at present to us, must have
taken place in the Circumpolar Regions, by which the severity of the cold that
has for centuries past enclosed the seas in the high northern latitudes in an
impenetrable barrier of ice has been during the last two years, greatly abated.
(This) affords ample proof that new sources of warmth have been opened
and give us leave to hope that the Arctic Seas may at this time be more
accessible than they have been for centuries past, and that discoveries may
now be made in them not only interesting to the advancement of science but
also to the future intercourse of mankind and the commerce of distant
nations.”
President of the Royal Society, London, to the Admiralty, 20th November,
1817 [13]
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